First, graphporn:
Predicted progress:
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Actual progress (to WW05)
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Analysis
Profits and margins slid in February. Growth in margins was eliminated by the drop in Nomad prices. Shrinkage in overall returns was due to a mix of issues. One piece can be attributed to slacking off, I lost some 7+ days in an already short month. Second due to some stress from being overleveraged due to the Nomad build. And third, a significant shrinking in margins on ships due to the cost-spike related to the NOTEC announcement.
Margins are cooling on a lot of my mainstay products. I want to believe this is due to a very active industrial surge to match with the surge in accounts since Retribution. Also, ships are becoming a shaky place to operate, since many T1 variants are matching most T2 hulls at significantly lower costs. The only place left for producers are the ships with hyper-focused roles. T2 modules still are selling very well though, so much of the cooling from ships is being picked up in modules... but there is a time bottleneck on very-high-volume module production preventing me from really cashing out in that realm.
Goals Checklist:
In-Game Goals:
- Stockpile 10B ISK: Failed
- Managed to stock ~8B into the bank, but 4B is slated for resuming JFs soon(tm)
- Committing another 2-3B to a market-hub experiment in the FW warzone
- Purchase BPOs for Black Ops: Success
- Though I intended to get both Dominix/Armageddon BPOs, I settled for 'Geddon x2 for now
- If Redeemers preform well, will add Sin's in short order
- Maximize POS/character utility: C+
- POS allocation is adequate at this time. Though will be tough if another contractor starts
- Invention/Copy/Research allocation on track
- Was not able to start 2nd ship manufacturer due to cycle delays and ISK limitations
- Start up 9th industry mule: On Track
- Char #8 is ready to run, but still needs ~35d more training to be complete.
- Trying to have more all-4 inventors to spread the invent load out
Prosper Goals
February was the month to finally nail down the database. And once again, as I do so often, I underestimated the work. So far, progress has been good, but slow. The RAW price database (1.5yrs of eve-central data boiled down to by-system "box and wisker" values) will be done this week. Also, I have started laying the framework for the next DB, kill data.
My shortfall can be blamed on a lot of factors. February started with a "manic" verve to get code down, but was quickly fizzled due to IRL work stress. Also, my method of coding is a lot like a rat working through a maze for the first time. I spend a lot of time doing it wrong, and I have to gut 70% of the work and try again. I think I've put myself on a sustainable path to avoid rework, but there were a lot of hours of work, and not a ton of code to show off. If I can commit more good chunks of undisturbed time, like it's a homework assignment, I can make some real strides and progress down.
I'll discuss the various databases and their goals in next week's "goals" post!
Market Prediction Review
- Shrink in overall margins: True
- Margins are shrinking slower than I expected.
- "Guns and Bullets" isn't good enough. I had to diversify into additional modules
- Blaster rubberband: True
- As I predicted, blasters crashed and rebounded.
- Was perched perfectly to milk the incoming bubble
- Ship Margin Shrinking: True
- Though I was more doom-and-gloom, the ground under T2 ships is shrinking
- Zealots weren't as good a bet for Feb as I anticipated
- I bet on the wrong hictor (Phobos)
- Recons are volatile
- What I didn't see:
- NOTEC caused price bump in ships, but shook out quickly
- Nomad Price Crash
- Medium Ammo margins halved
- Improvement in general module profits and volume
- Weird volume problems in decryptors. Need more investigation
I will write a goals/prediction post for March this weekend. It's nice to set goals and be able to check off boxes!
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